Dan Crenshaw explains how Republicans can win the Hispanic and Black vote - falsely

Here is a small snippet from the recent TPUSA conservative youth open-forum engagement hosted by Congressman Dan Crenshaw (R) of Texas, with a transcription below:





Audience member:
"[...] The U.S. Census Bureau projects that the United States will be minority White by the year 2045; according to a 2014 pew research study, 80% of Blacks, 65% of Asians and 56% of Hispanics identify as Democrat. Given that the Democratic Party is destroying American ideals - which I think we would both agree on - and given that non-White groups overwhelmingly vote Democrat, how will American ideals be maintained 25 years from now when currently nearly a million non-White immigrants become citizens every year? Before you answer this question, I'll quickly describe how Charlie Kirk answered this question. First h...[trails off]"
Dan Crenshaw:
"Here's..here's..here's how we look into the future. We don't tell...we don't lie to...minorities and tell them that we are going to solve all of their problems. We tell them they are included in this country, and that the only colors that matter in this country are the red, white and blue. Identity politics has no place in this country. I know where you guys are going with this, so I've answered your question."
Congressman Dan Crenshaw (R) at a recent event
(photo credit: Matthew Perdie, Breitbart).
Yes, Crenshaw answered the question. But he overlooked a critical fact: because the migrants slipping into the country are overwhelmingly poor, they are automatically drawn towards and dependent on the ones offering the welfare packages and handouts: the Democrats. To generate the funding to support these programs and build the infrastructure required to accommodate the migrant influx, Democrats want to tax heavily. But their generosity only reinforces the migration trend, because it affirms that support is waiting and America is a refuge for migrants. The migrant surge that results from this state of affairs only increases the need for funding and taxes, while adding more and more bloat to the country's social welfare system. Meanwhile, with high taxes, the host population has less money to invest and build capital with, which stagnates growth and leaves more of the population unable to move beyond a welfare-dependent state, especially when their behavior and wages are based on what works with that extra support system in place and part of the equation. So why would these people vote against the party that stands for "free social welfare" when it is already a necessary part of their lives? Add that to the Democrats presenting enthusiasm about open borders and aid as something the Latino community should support because it is "pro-Latino" and you have a Latino demographic - now nearing 40% of California's total population, for example - either dependent on, or partial to, the Democrats.

The concerned audience member probably made the mistake of focusing on values rather than the reality of impoverished migrants voting in obvious ways and being pushed to do so in a way that establishes dependence; perhaps the audience member should have pointed out that, when it comes to vote-pandering, handouts and creating economic dependence, former Democratic President Lyndon B. Johnson had so much faith in what the Democrats were doing that he supposedly believed it could get African-Americans to "vote Democrat for 100 years". Today, just as Johnson's strategy continues to win the Black vote, it is being applied to newly-arriving migrants with just as effective results.

The focus on values also opened the door for Crenshaw to parrot the same sort of enthusiasm about inclusion, colorblindness and patriotism that drove former President Ronald Reagan and Vice President George Walker Bush to believe they could gain the Hispanic vote. Of course, they failed. Only 34% of the Hispanic population supported Reagan, and Bush went on to take a paltry 30% of the Hispanic vote in 1988, followed by 25% in his unsuccessful reelection bid four years later.

Taking these facts into consideration, one can see a much more effective way to frame the question; Crenshaw should have been asked: how can a trifecta of praising the "red, white and blue", denouncing ethnopolitics and telling migrants they are "included" be seen as a solution to win the Hispanic support when former President Ronald Reagan did exactly that only to garner a mere 34% of the Hispanic vote, while his acolyte George Herbert Walker Bush mustered just 30% and 25% in the years that followed. The Republicans will never win again with those numbers, given demographic trends.

Secondly, Crenshaw needs to explain why he believes that playing identity politics and promising to solve all problems with giant welfare packages is something that is not going to work for the Democrats when it is exactly what former Democrat President Lyndon B. Johnson allegedly prescribed to get Black people voting Democrat for the next 100 years, and that strategy has subsequently enabled the Democrats to capture every demographic they target with great success.